Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.792162 0.927388 1.078606 1.260247 1.472564 1.712965 2.005965
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.577201 0.755973 0.979135 1.278264 1.669065 2.162840 2.835162
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.487883 0.692180 0.967992 1.367775 1.933228 2.705807 3.844404
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.415698 0.629285 0.936555 1.411142 2.127083 3.169412 4.807650
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.354499 0.567512 0.891213 1.419348 2.261639 3.557008 5.709330
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.303483 0.510663 0.841243 1.407611 2.356794 3.889648 6.566068
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.264053 0.464961 0.800113 1.400482 2.453197 4.230725 7.478094
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.235484 0.432452 0.774830 1.413977 2.582603 4.638959 8.556629
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.202379 0.386518 0.719117 1.364386 2.591225 4.834770 9.279827
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.193872 0.384263 0.740869 1.458397 2.874032 5.558941 11.079542
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.169710 0.348361 0.694641 1.415800 2.889182 5.781495 11.940778
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.148487 0.315133 0.648859 1.367047 2.884029 5.961235 12.737011
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.130086 0.285548 0.607317 1.323136 2.886884 6.165966 13.634693
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.119826 0.271875 0.596933 1.344008 3.030883 6.685265 15.290028
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.116677 0.273320 0.618824 1.438259 3.348526 7.619075 18.002725
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.109929 0.265544 0.619241 1.483874 3.562343 8.351639 20.361966
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.101307 0.252063 0.604774 1.492505 3.690581 8.905331 22.378015
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.092344 0.236407 0.582990 1.480161 3.765895 9.343212 24.172664
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.084658 0.222808 0.564278 1.472663 3.851942 9.818101 26.130304
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.078931 0.213405 0.554648 1.486856 3.995228 10.454374 28.600856
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.070506 0.195663 0.521464 1.434703 3.957079 10.621688 29.845369
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.069851 0.198887 0.543322 1.533572 4.339912 11.945165 34.458865
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.063010 0.183914 0.514566 1.488773 4.319172 12.179945 36.041647